708
FXUS63 KPAH 021135
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
635 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure will bring cooler than normal temperatures and
  comfortable humidity levels this weekend.

- A small (15-25%) chance of thunderstorms returns to the
  forecast Sunday afternoon over the southern KY Pennyrile,
  followed by daily thunderstorm chances (15-40%) through
  Wednesday, with the greatest chances east of the Mississippi
  River.

- A gradual warming trend will begin Monday, and temperature and
  humidity levels will return to normal level for the second
  half of next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

Cooler Canadian high pressure will settle over the region today
into Sunday, bringing cooler than normal temperatures and
comfortable humidity levels this weekend. Temperatures will be
about 5-10 degrees below normal with highs in the lower 80s and
overnight lows in the lower to middle 60s. Sunday afternoon, a
trough over the East Coast will begin to retrograde into the
region, and a stray shower or thunderstorm or two is possible in
the KY Pennyrile.

Daily shower and thunderstorm chances (roughly 15-40%) are
forecast Monday through Wednesday as troughing increases over
the eastern CONUS. Overall, the greatest chances of
precipitation looks to occur on Tuesday as a shortwave lifts
through the region. Precipitation coverage will be greatest east
of the Mississippi River where the H5 troughing aloft will be
deeper. As H5 ridging increases from west to east over the
region, dry conditions are forecast Thursday and Friday.

Temperature and humidity levels will gradually return to normal
values by Wednesday and the second half of the week. High
temperatures will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s with
overnight lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Dew point
temperatures will also return to the upper 60s to lower 70s, so
humidity levels will also be noticeable.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 635 AM CDT Sat Aug 2 2025

The TAFs are VFR. FEW-SCT diurnal CU with bases around 4-6kft
will develop during the afternoon hours under passing high
cirrus. Winds will be steady from the NE around 8-12 kts with
gusts up to 20 kts during the afternoon hours.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS