709
FXUS63 KPAH 140552
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1252 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dangerous heat and humidity will linger across the area
  through the upcoming weekend. Heat index values will range
  from 105-115 degrees each afternoon. An Extreme Heat Warning
  continues through the weekend.

- A 20-40% chance of showers and thunderstorms is forecast for
  Sunday night and Monday.

- Slightly cooler temperatures and a bit lower humidity values
  are in the forecast for the first half of next week.
  Temperatures will still reach the lower to middle 90s each day
  with the exception of the Evansville Tri State where upper
  80s are forecast for Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

A line/cluster of convection will sag south early this morning
toward the Evansville Tri State; however, the storms are expected to
weaken before or as they move into the CWA. This will be a result of
them running into the very warm aloft, associated with the massive
ridge in place. It isn`t totally out of the question that a few
showers/storms briefly push in before diminishing.

The aforementioned ridge, responsible for all the heat across
the Quad State, will continue to expand and intensify across the
area into the weekend, which will allow temperatures to climb
along with the humidity. The Extreme Heat Warning will remain in
place and unchanged with heat index values expected to be in
the 105-115 degree range through the weekend! This will be a
dangerous and prolonged period of extreme heat.

A frontal boundary and several pieces of upper-level energy are
forecast to drift through the area for Monday, which may briefly
bring slightly cooler temperatures (upper 80s to low 90s) for
Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. Beyond that, there are some
signals that temperatures will trend a bit cooler with additional
rainfall chances toward the end of next week, even though
temperatures may briefly rebound Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 559 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Light and
variable winds overnight will increase out of the southwest
tomorrow around 5-8 kts. Mostly clear skies overnight and a
diurnal cu deck tomorrow.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for ILZ075>078-
     080>094.
MO...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for MOZ076-086-087-
     100-107>112-114.
IN...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ Sunday for
     INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Sunday for KYZ001>022.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...HICKFORD