355
FXUS63 KPAH 290643
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
143 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions, temperatures several degrees below normal and
  low humidity will provide great weather for the long holiday
  weekend.

- On and off small shower chances can be expected Monday night
  through Thursday, with a few thunderstorms possible.

- Below normal temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will trend
  even cooler by Thursday with the passage of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Models show surface high pressure centered over the southern
Great Lakes region today through Sunday, shifting over the
northeast U.S. Monday. Circulation around the high will result
in persistent light northeast flow across the middle
Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys through the long holiday
weekend. This will help keep our region dry and our
temperatures below normal with continued low humidity levels.
High temperatures today through Monday will be 2 to 6 degrees
below normal, with lows 5 to 8 degrees below normal.

By Monday night into Tuesday night, models show a couple of
weak upper level disturbances bringing scattered showers and
a few storms. Models are in good agreement bringing a much
deeper upper level trof and a surface cold front across our area
late Wednesday into Wednesday night. Lacking moisture will
prevent any significant rain chances, but isolated to scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday
afternoon/night and possibly even into Thursday. Behind the
cold front, dry and even cooler conditions will filter into our
region. Temperatures Monday through Wednesday will be 4 to 9
degrees below normal, then Thursday highs will potentially be 10
to 15 degrees below normal.

 &&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Vsby reductions are possible near sunrise, with the best
potential for IFR/MVFR cigs at sites near the Mississippi River
such as KCGI. Calm winds only increase to 5 kts tomorrow with
continued mid-level clouds that peak in coverage during the
afternoon.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...ATL