Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
887
FNUS53 KPAH 171911
FWFPAH
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
National Weather Service Paducah KY
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will begin to increase in coverage
tonight into Tuesday. A lull in the unsettled weather occurs
Wednesday, followed by more rain chances Thursday and Friday.
Total rainfall between 1 to 2 inches, locally 3 inches is
forecast. Smoke dispersion will be variable on Tuesday, but most
of the region with the exception of portions of SEMO will remain
poor with low mixing heights, followed by little improvement on
Wednesday.
MOZ098-100-106>108-181015-
Shannon-Wayne MO-Oregon-Carter-Ripley-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 0 0
High Temperature(F) 75-79 68-72
Minimum RH(%) 49-54 47-52
Low Temperature(F) 52-56 45-49
Maximum RH(%) 86-91 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+17) 79 (+17) 46 72
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+20) 52 (+23) 100 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G24 SW 5-9 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 G20 SW 4-8 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 1260 890
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4120 2910
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 68 70
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 19 W 6
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 W 3
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 12600 2670
Dispersion Index Good Poor
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs around 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ076-086-087-181015-
Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 50 20 0
High Temperature(F) 71-75 63-67
Minimum RH(%) 49-54 59-64
Low Temperature(F) 50-54 45-49
Maximum RH(%) 78-83 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+19) 75 (+14) 47 67
RH % (24h trend) 81 (-4) 52 (+25) 100 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 5-9 G20 S 7-11 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G23 SW 4-8 G21 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 650 770
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2140 2510
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 69 69
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 NW 7
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 NW 4
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 5200 3080
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MOZ109>112-114-181015-
Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 40 0
High Temperature(F) 73-77 66-70
Minimum RH(%) 46-51 56-61
Low Temperature(F) 53-57 49-53
Maximum RH(%) 75-80 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+18) 77 (+13) 50 70
RH % (24h trend) 78 (0) 49 (+25) 100 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 5-9 G21 S 8-12 G29 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G23 SW 7-11 G28 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 710 650
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2340 2150
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 72 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 20 N 5
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 N 3
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 7100 1950
Dispersion Index Fair Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ084-085-088-089-092-093-181015-
Jackson-Williamson-Union IL-Johnson-Alexander-Pulaski-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 40 0
High Temperature(F) 69-73 62-66
Minimum RH(%) 49-54 63-68
Low Temperature(F) 48-52 47-51
Maximum RH(%) 75-80 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 50 (+17) 73 (+12) 48 66
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-7) 52 (+26) 100 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G19 S 7-11 G25 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 G21 SW 4-8 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.14 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 2 3 1
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 480 740
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1580 2430
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 69 69
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 NW 7
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 9 NW 4
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 4320 2960
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ086-087-090-091-094-181015-
Saline-Gallatin-Pope-Hardin-Massac-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 60 0
High Temperature(F) 67-71 62-66
Minimum RH(%) 49-54 59-64
Low Temperature(F) 45-49 48-52
Maximum RH(%) 70-75 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+14) 71 (+10) 49 66
RH % (24h trend) 73 (-10) 52 (+30) 98 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 G18 S 6-10 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 G20 SW 4-8 G23 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.22 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 2 5 1
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 480 790
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1580 2590
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 69 69
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 19 NW 7
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 NW 4
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 4800 3160
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs around 60. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ILZ075>078-080>083-181015-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 40 0
High Temperature(F) 66-70 59-63
Minimum RH(%) 59-64 63-68
Low Temperature(F) 44-48 45-49
Maximum RH(%) 78-83 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 44 (+13) 70 (+10) 46 63
RH % (24h trend) 81 (-1) 62 (+37) 97 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G20 S 6-10 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 5-9 G21 SW 3-7 G21 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.15 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 3 4 1
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 470 760
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1530 2490
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 65 66
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 NW 6
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 NW 3
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3760 2280
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-181015-
Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-Spencer-Union KY-Webster-
Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025 /211 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025/
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 80 0
High Temperature(F) 64-68 60-64
Minimum RH(%) 54-59 68-73
Low Temperature(F) 41-45 48-52
Maximum RH(%) 74-79 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 42 (+12) 69 (+10) 49 64
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-7) 57 (+32) 100 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G24 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 G18 SW 4-8 G23 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.16 0.40 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 2 10 4
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 440 770
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1450 2530
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 67 68
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 17 NW 7
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 9 NW 4
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3960 3080
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
KYZ010>013-016-017-021-022-181015-
Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Hopkins-Christian-Muhlenberg-Todd-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 80 0
High Temperature(F) 69-73 65-69
Minimum RH(%) 40-45 63-68
Low Temperature(F) 45-49 52-56
Maximum RH(%) 56-61 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+14) 72 (+11) 53 69
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-26) 43 (+20) 100 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G26 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 G20 SW 6-10 G25 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.13 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 2 5 6
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 560 670
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1840 2190
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 71 71
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 20 NW 7
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 NW 4
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 5600 2680
Dispersion Index Fair Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
KYZ001>009-181015-
Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-
111 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 70 0
High Temperature(F) 70-74 66-70
Minimum RH(%) 42-47 61-66
Low Temperature(F) 49-53 51-55
Maximum RH(%) 62-67 95-100
Temp (24h trend) 50 (+16) 73 (+10) 52 70
RH % (24h trend) 65 (-21) 45 (+24) 100 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 4-8 G20 S 8-12 G28 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G23 SW 7-11 G27 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 2 3 4
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 AM
Mixing Hgt(m-agl/msl) 570 610
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1860 1990
1700`Mix Hgt Temp 72 73
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 21 NW 6
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 NW 3
Max Vent Rate (m/s-m) 6270 1830
Dispersion Index Poor Poor
DSI STBL STBL
Remarks...Forecast vent rates and smoke dispersion index values
should be treated as a best case scenario and may not be
representative of all locations within the fire weather zones
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$