531
FNUS73 KPAH 281317
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Oxbow Piles...USWFS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
817 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on September 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions and strong, deep mixing are forecast through at
least Wednesday, as temperatures trend much warmer. Minimum
relative humidity will be in the 25-35% range throughout the
region today and Tuesday, and over the eastern half of the region
Wednesday. Light winds will keep overall smoke dispersion at poor
levels through Tuesday. South winds will increase on Wednesday,
leading to somewhat better dispersion. Humidity will increase
throughout the region Thursday, as rain chances return to the
forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 79.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northeast at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /23200 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  66  69  72  76  77  78  79  77
RH..............68  58  51  43  36  33  31  29  31
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 2.1 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.6 3.9
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   5   11  17  20  22  23  23  20
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    7 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  71  67  64  62  61  60  59  58  57  55  55
RH..............34  44  54  60  65  67  69  69  72  75  80  80
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  53  57  62  70  74  77  79  81  82  82  81
RH..............83  86  83  75  59  48  42  38  35  33  33  35
20 FT wind dir..N   N   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 3.1 4.2 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   6   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   4   8   16  21  25  33  34  26  26
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...WITTEN
Requested by...Ben Schmall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622652.0/PAH
.DELDT 09/28/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_schmall@fws.gov