Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
989
FNUS73 KPAH 111941
FWSPAH
Spot Forecast for Crause Burn...E&G Consultation
National Weather Service Paducah KY
241 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on October 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Sunny skies and light southwest winds are expected the rest of this
afternoon. RH values will fall to around 38% by 5 PM. Mixing will be
limited, and combined with the light surface winds, conditions for
smoke dispersion will be poor.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........83 at ignition...Max 83.
RH..................40 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Winds SW at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /16800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
/17400 knot-ft/.
TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0
Temp............83 83 82
RH..............40 39 38
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.W W W
Transp wind spd.7 7 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17 17 16
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 62.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............78 75 70 68 67 66 66 65 65 65 64 64
RH..............54 62 76 81 87 87 87 90 87 87 87 87
20 FT wind dir..SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.5 7 8 9 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 90.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 16 to 20
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (97100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC PC MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............64 62 65 68 76 81 86 88 88 90 89 88
RH..............84 90 84 81 62 54 45 42 42 38 39 40
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.3 4.0 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.5 3.6
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W W W W SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 12 10 12 14 16 17 18 18 20 20 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 4 7 14 32 60 84 90 97 93 51
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR
$$
Forecaster...SNYDER
Requested by...Michael Lucarelli
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623586.0/PAH
.DELDT 10/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael0624@ameritech.net