032
FNUS73 KPAH 012004
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Wilkins Road...USFS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
304 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

South to southwest winds in the 10 to 15 mph range will gust as
high as 20 mph this afternoon before diminishing around sunset. A
cold front will pass through the burn site tonight, shifting the
winds to the north between 3 and 5 am. Chance for rain will
increase overnight with the best chance (70-90 percent) expected
between 4 am and 8 am. Rainfall totals late tonight into Friday
morning are expected to approach a half inch.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........91 at forecast start...Max 91.
RH..................41 percent at forecast start...Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 12 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise South winds 7 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good /104400 knot-ft/ at forecast start.
                    Max...very good /104400 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0
Temp............91  90  90
RH..............41  40  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.22  21  20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..104 104 85
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers overnight. Chance of showers overnight,
                    then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 64 percent.
Temperature.........Min 68.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....                        SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   40  40  50  60  60
Temp............89  85  82  80  78  77  77  76  74  73  71  71
RH..............39  48  55  58  60  64  69  71  76  84  90  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   N
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.15  12  12  10  10  10  12  12  10  8   7   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14  5   4   4   4   5   5   4   4   3   4   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the morning. Showers through the day. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................75 percent increasing to 85 percent early in
                    the morning, then increasing to 93 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 49 percent early
                    in the afternoon decreasing to 30 percent
                    decreasing to 20 percent late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70  80  80  80  90  90  90  50  40  30  20  20
Temp............69  68  68  67  68  68  68  67  69  68  68  68
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 97  93  97  93  93  87
20 FT wind dir..NE  SE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   8   10  12  14  15  16  17  17  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   5   4   10  11  11  13  15  19  21  24  22
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...COOLEY
Requested by...Joe Shelton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622932.0/PAH
.DELDT 10/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.shelton@usda.gov