664
FNUS73 KPAH 131710
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Ashby...USDA FS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1110 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A mix of sun and clouds is expected tomorrow, with southwest winds
ushering in higher humidity levels. Minimum RH`s will likely
remain above 50%, and may struggle to fall much below 60% during
the afternoon. Strong southwesterly transport winds will lead to
fair smoke dispersion by afternoon despite rather limited mixing.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........67 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph
                    with gusts to around 20 mph late in the morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /23700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /50100 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  70  72  73  73  71  68
RH..............68  63  61  59  59  64  70
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.17  18  20  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  18  20  20  17  15  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  36  49  50  41  27  13
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 58.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  64  62  61  61  61  61  61  60  60  59  58
RH..............75  81  87  90  90  87  87  87  87  87  90  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  14  14  14  14  15  15  16  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   6   5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 22 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (76500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  61  63  66  68  70  72  73  74  74  73  71
RH..............90  87  81  75  70  66  61  59  57  57  59  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  13  12  12
20 FT wind gust.17  18  20  21  22  22  23  24  24  24  23  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.2 1.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  17  20  22  24  25  26  28  26  24  22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   10  19  29  41  54  64  73  77  69  48  24
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  PR

$$
Forecaster...POULOS
Requested by...Shawnee NF
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525844.0/PAH
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL whitney.jiter@usda.gov