Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
383
FNUS73 KPAH 161950
FWSPAH
Spot Forecast for Pine Hills CG...USFS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
150 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Low relative humidity values in the 20 to 30% range will continue
on Monday before a significant increase in moisture arrives
Monday night with the risk of a wetting rain. Daily shower and
storm chances will continue through the entire week, with the
heaviest rainfall occurring Thursday night into Friday. Total
rainfall between 1 to 3 inches is expected. Low mixing heights
around 2000 feet through Tuesday will yield poor smoke dispersion.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........41 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................42 percent at ignition...Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Winds east at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
/23700 knot-ft/.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............41 46 51 53 57 58 59 58 58 57
RH..............42 37 32 29 25 26 26 28 28 29
20 FT wind dir..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.9 14 14 13 13 13 14 15 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.9 12 10 12 10 12 13 14 12 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 8 11 15 16 20 24 23 8 5
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the evening. Rain
showers likely through the night. Chance of
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 71 percent overnight.
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500 knot-ft).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 70 70 70 70 70 70
Temp............55 54 53 53 52 52 53 53 54 54 54 54
RH..............40 45 50 52 56 59 59 61 61 64 66 71
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.13 14 16 16 16 17 17 16 15 14 14 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 8 10 10 9 10 11 9 7 5 5 6
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of
rain showers in the morning, then slight chance
of rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................49 percent decreasing to 0 percent in the
afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 8
to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft).
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC
CWR.............50 50 50 0 0 0
Temp............55 58 63 68 71 71
RH..............74 83 84 78 73 71
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 10 10 10 10 8
20 FT wind gust.17 20 20 18 18 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW W W
Transp wind spd.15 15 14 12 10 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 13 15 12 10 7
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...WITTEN
Requested by...Brickner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526048.0/PAH
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL swing77set@gmail.com