070
FNUS73 KPAH 102022
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Apple Creek CA Woodland...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Paducah KY
222 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CST on December 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Thursday will start off cold with temperatures in the upper 20s
rising to a high of around 42 by the afternoon. Winds generally
will generally remain light during the day becoming more
southwesterly in the afternoon. Low mixing heights and light winds
will keep dispersion on the poor side through the day Thursday.

Friday will see less cloud cover and warmer temperatures resulting
in better mixing. The combination of increased mixing heights and
transport winds will lead to fair dispersion by the afternoon.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........27 at ignition...Max 42.
RH..................88 percent at ignition...Min 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northwest at 2 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south
                    5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 9 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 12 to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /7200 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /26600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............27  26  27  31  34  35  38  40  41  42  42  40
RH..............88  96  92  81  72  69  62  59  57  55  57  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   8   10  12  12  13  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   6   7   9   12  13  15  17  15  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   3   4   13  12  13  19  22  26  27  21  13
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph shifting to the west 9
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3700 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  39  37  38  38  38  38  38  38  38  38  38
RH..............64  67  75  76  76  76  79  79  82  82  82  82
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  15  16  17  16  15  15  14  14  13  12  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   5   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 46.
RH..................Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (53600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  39  40  42  43  45  45  45  45  44  42  39
RH..............82  82  82  79  76  68  65  65  62  65  67  73
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  17  18  18  18  17  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.4 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   12  15  17  18  18  18  18  17  16  16  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   7   14  22  32  43  50  54  52  45  34  22
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...DIEGAN
Requested by...Anthony King
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527399.0/PAH
.DELDT 12/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anthony.king@mdc.mo.gov