Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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624 FXUS66 KPDT 222229 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 229 PM PST Sat Nov 22 2025 .DISCUSSION...Low stratus continues to blanket much of the lower Columbia Basin, Yakima and Walla Walla, and Wallowa valleys. Elsewhere, skies are mostly clear to partly cloudy as we await the arrival of a Pacific cold front Sunday. Have included a mention of patchy fog in the forecast overnight into Sunday morning for the aforementioned areas as confidence is high (80 percent) that the inversion will persist. Snow levels will drop Sunday afternoon through Sunday night as the cold front sweeps across the region. No winter highlights are in effect, but do have medium-high confidence (60-80 percent) in one-half inch to two inches of snow for mountain passes in the Cascades and northern Blue Mountains. Breezy westerly winds of 10-20 mph accompanied by gusts of 20-35 mph are forecast late Sunday afternoon through Monday. Tuesday afternoon through Thursday, uncertainty in forecast details is still present as ensemble guidance struggles to resolve features of a progressive weather pattern, including the magnitude and axis of moisture transport into the Pacific Northwest, focusing mechanisms for precipitation (fronts, surface lows, etc.), and any wintry precipitation. Will note the NBM suggests a low probability (5-20 percent) of 1 inch or greater snowfall for the 48-hr period ending 4 PM PST Thursday for the Yakima, Kittitas, and Grande Ronde valleys. In the eastern half of the Columbia Basin and farther south into central Oregon, guidance is more confident in a warmer air mass, resulting in very low probabilities of measurable snowfall (less than 5 percent). While probabilities are still quite low (up to 10 percent), the synoptic pattern does support some potential for measurable freezing rain Tuesday night and Wednesday in sheltered valleys along the east side of the Washington Cascades as warm air overrides colder air at the surface. && .AVIATION...00Z TAFs...LIFR to IFR stratus remains stubbornly entrenched in the Columbia Basin, including surrounding low- lying areas such as the Yakima and Walla Walla valleys. In the eastern Columbia River Gorge, stratus has dissipated except in the immediate vicinity of DLS. Elsewhere, mostly clear skies are present at RDM/BDN/PDT. Anticipating stratus will break at DLS this afternoon, but confidence is now low (30 percent) that stratus will dissipate at YKM/PSC. Mid- to high-level cloud cover will become more BKN-OVC tonight through Sunday as a Pacific cold front approaches the region. Confidence in the return of widespread fog and stratus is low- medium (20-50 percent, varying by site) for Basin sites as forecast soundings show the temperature inversion persisting. Sustained winds of 10 kts or less are forecast for all sites through the next 24 hours, albeit some afternoon gusts of 15-20 kts are likely (70 percent confidence) at DLS/PSC with lower confidence (50 percent) in gusts at PDT/ALW. Low (10-20 percent) chances of rain overnight into early Sunday morning (roughly 12Z-18Z) at DLS/YKM/PSC/ALW were not mentioned in the 00Z TAFs. Best rain chances (20-40 percent) will be at ALW/PDT/PSC by 21Z Sunday to 00Z Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 35 53 32 47 / 0 20 70 10 ALW 39 52 35 46 / 0 40 80 20 PSC 34 54 32 50 / 0 20 40 0 YKM 35 53 27 49 / 10 30 20 0 HRI 34 53 33 49 / 0 20 50 0 ELN 34 49 29 44 / 20 50 30 10 RDM 27 54 24 45 / 0 20 40 0 LGD 34 53 30 43 / 0 20 90 20 GCD 31 55 29 44 / 0 10 60 10 DLS 40 52 37 50 / 10 60 50 20 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86