Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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924 FXUS66 KPDT 272259 AFDPDT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 359 PM PDT Sun Sep 27 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy frost/freezing temperatures possible in Central Oregon and Kittitas Valley tonight. - Warmer high temperatures through the week with zonal/split flow aloft. - Showers (50-70% chance) developing along the Cascades Tuesday with a shortwave passing through British Colombia. && .DISCUSSION... Radar advertising light returns across as a low pressure system centered around northern California advects moisture across the Blue and Eastern Mountains through this afternoon. The exiting of the low pressure system will bring calm, clear conditions across the region overnight, allowing cooler lows tonight with the possibility of freezing temperatures in the Kittitas Valley, Central Oregon, and other low sheltered valleys. Confidence isn`t too great (only 20-40% chance) that freezing temperatures will linger in these parts long enough to warrant freeze warnings. It`s possible with a re-assessment later today/tonight that we might issue freeze warnings for all or some of these areas based on if guidance is still aligned or not. For now, we decided to hold off as of now. The low will continue to push off to the east through the remainder of the day, allowing more zonal flow to take place as a trough digs down from British Colombia and a ridge pushes east just underneath it. This set-up will allow moderate to heavy showers to develop in the Cascade region (mostly on the Washington state side) through Tuesday, with the maximum potential located around Snoqualmie. Decent chance (50-70%) we`ll see wetting rains around the Snoqualmie area with QPF`s advertising up to a half an inch possible through Tuesday and Wednesday. As we head later into the week, guidance is in good agreement (80-90% chance) that the ridge just offshore will continue to push east, dropping off PoP`s on the later half of the week. The ridge axis will amplify heading onshore bringing warmer weather with highs into the low to high 70s through the week, with calmer winds. Although timing is a bit rough with guidance, the general picture is the same that we`ll be in a mostly dry pattern with calm to elevated winds through the week. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period. Winds will be light and variable through the period with mainly high clouds with some isolated clearing. DLS will begin to see some gusty winds after 22Z. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... PDT 63 38 71 45 / 0 0 0 0 ALW 64 43 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 PSC 71 37 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 YKM 67 39 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 HRI 68 36 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 ELN 63 31 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 RDM 63 30 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 LGD 65 38 72 39 / 0 0 0 0 GCD 69 37 72 40 / 0 0 0 0 DLS 71 42 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. OR...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...95 AVIATION...90