Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR
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771
FNUS76 KPDT 151223
FWSPDT
Spot Forecast for Burnt Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
523 AM PDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 15.
***Thunderstorms imply gusty and erratic winds ***
***Winds are 20 foot 10-minute averages ***
***CWR: Chance of wetting rain 0.10 or greater ***
***Ventilation Index is derived from transport wind
multiplied by the mixing height in 100`s of ft.
Categories are a generalized indicator only:
low (< 200), moderate (200-500), high (500-700),
and very high (> 700). ***
If you have questions or concerns with this forecast, please
contact our office at (541) 276-8134.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...32% chance of thunderstorms after 1100 with a CWR
of 77% at 0.10 inches likely. Gusty and erratic winds with
t-sotrms. Daytime humidity will be in the low 30% with light and
variable winds. Overnight winds will remain light with recoveries
in the low 60%. Sunday will see 24% chances of thunderstorms after
1100 with light winds outside of storms. Humidity will be in the
upper 20%.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy smoke in
the morning. Rain showers and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................77 percent.
Chance of lightning.32 percent.
Max temperature.....81-84.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms after 1100.
Ridgetop wind.......Variable winds 3 to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 1100.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Ventilation Index...Low (50-80).
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening.
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of lightning.20 percent.
Min temperature.....55-58.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms through 2300.
Ridgetop wind.......Variable winds 3 to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms through 2300.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Ventilation Index...Low (100) decreasing to low (30) overnight.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
CWR.................9 percent.
Chance of lightning.24 percent.
Max temperature.....83-86.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms after 1100.
Ridgetop wind.......Variable winds 3 to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms after 1100.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Ventilation Index...Low (40) increasing to high (630-640) in the
afternoon.
$$
Forecaster...Bennese
Requested by...Carson Reid
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619388.4/PDT
.DELDT 08/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eaglecapwfm@gmail.com,bryce.melville@usda.gov