273
FNUS71 KPHI 051001
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Lord Stirling RxB...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
501 AM EST Fri Dec 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on December 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure will shift offshore today into tonight.
Meanwhile, a low pressure system will be lifting off the coast of
the Carolinas further out to sea. The next cold front is expected
to cross our region Sunday into Sunday Night. In the wake of that
front, high pressure builds in for the first half of the work week,
followed by another low pressure system approaching our region
Wednesday into Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (17300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................8 to 23.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     69     83     83
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      10     10     10
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10
Temp............23     26     29     29
RH..............43     50     58     63
20 ft wind......E 3    SE 5   E 3    E 3
20 ft wind gust.8      9      9      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   2500   2200   1400
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 8   SE 6   E 6
ADI.............22     17     15     11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15     17     11     7
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    in the evening and overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
                    the evening, then decreasing to 10 percent late
                    in the evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west 3 to
                    6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
ADI.................2 to 3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........81     89     96     94     91     90
Weather cov.....       S CHC         S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   SNOW   NONE   SNOW   SNOW   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     20     10     20     20     10
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     10     20     20     10
Temp............28     26     27     27     26     27
RH..............68     81     81     85     92     92
20 ft wind......NE 2   SE 1   SE 1   S 1    S 1    S 1
20 ft wind gust.5      5      3      2      2      2
Mix hgt (ft)....900    900    500    500    600    500
Transport wind..NE 6   E 7    NE 6   NE 6   W 5    W 5
ADI.............3      3      3      3      2      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4      5      3      3      2      2
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...DeSilva
Requested by...Eric Kelly
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527056.0/PHI
.DELDT 12/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.kelly@dep.nj.gov