Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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Spot Forecast for Maple Barrens...Silvix
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
601 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will gradually settle over our area tonight as it
weakens, then it quickly shifts offshore on Saturday. A strong cold
front crosses our area Sunday night, followed by high pressure
briefly building in for Monday night and Tuesday. The next cold
front moves through Tuesday night, then high pressure builds to our
south during Thursday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (13200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  55  49  53  56  60  61  63  64  58  51  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  37  39  43  49  54  57  59  60  61  62  61
RH..............85  85  79  76  63  52  49  47  47  48  48  49
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   6   7   9   10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   2   4   6   8   11  13  13  11  9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft).
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  37  33  30  27  24  23  22  21  28  35  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............59  55  52  50  48  46  45  44  44  43  43  43
RH..............53  61  69  71  77  79  82  86  86  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  9   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   9
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   4   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph increasing to 21 to 28 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  43  43  47  50  54  61  69  76  74  73  71
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30
Temp............43  43  44  48  52  57  60  63  65  66  66  65
RH..............93  96  96  89  86  77  75  70  68  65  65  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   8   12  14  15  16  16  16  15  15
20 FT wind gust.13  13  15  18  22  25  28  29  30  30  30  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  14  17  21  24  26  28  28  26  25
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   3   8   17  31  50  70  85  90  84  69
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...MJL
Requested by...Shannon Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523763.0/PHI
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shannon@silvixforestry.com