Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
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FNUS71 KPHI 131305
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Prescribe Fire Training...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
905 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions overall today and tonight. There is however a very
small chance of an isolated shower later this afternoon. Some showers
and thunderstorms then arrive Friday afternoon and early evening with
a cold front. Light and variable winds this morning becoming southerly
around 10 mph before diminishing some tonight. Southwesterly winds Friday
increase again to around 10 mph.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph late
in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph late
in the morning.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (87900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................35 early in the morning increasing to 109 in
the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14 16 25 34 44 44 44 44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............74 78 79 81 82 82 82 82
Dewpoint........58 58 58 58 58 58 59 59
RH..............57 50 49 46 44 44 46 46
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 5 7 10 12 12 9 7
20 FT wind gust.8 9 14 17 20 18 16 13
Surface wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Surface wnd spd.3 5 7 10 12 12 9 7
Surface wnd gst.8 9 14 17 20 18 16 13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 4.5 5.7 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.3 6.0
Transp wind dir.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.10 12 10 13 13 15 15 15
ADI.............35 65 72 89 92 109 104 100
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23 45 51 70 74 88 83 78
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............61.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 3 to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (67800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (6200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................89 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
the night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41 38 35 30 26 21 21 21 21 19 18 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............80 78 76 74 72 70 69 67 67 66 66 65
Dewpoint........60 61 61 62 62 62 61 61 60 60 60 60
RH..............51 56 60 66 71 76 76 81 78 81 81 84
20 FT wind dir..SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.12 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 14 15 15
Surface wnd dir.SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
Surface wnd spd.6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Surface wnd gst.12 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 14 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 13 12 12 12 13 13 13 14 13 12 14
ADI.............89 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..68 15 8 6 7 7 8 8 9 8 7 8
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then showers and chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............63 increasing to 66 in the late morning and
afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west
late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the west
around 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (78600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 99 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17 16 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 57 63
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 60 60 60 80
Temp............64 66 69 72 78 80 84 85 86 87 84 82
Dewpoint........61 62 63 65 66 67 67 67 66 66 66 66
RH..............90 87 81 79 67 65 57 55 51 50 55 58
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 8
20 FT wind gust.14 16 16 15 15 14 15 15 14 14 14 14
Surface wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
Surface wnd spd.7 7 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 8
Surface wnd gst.14 16 16 15 15 14 15 15 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.9 5.2 6.6 5.7 4.8 3.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW W W W
Transp wind spd.12 13 13 13 13 12 13 13 14 14 15 15
ADI.............5 14 23 30 33 36 57 78 99 91 81 70
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 10 16 20 23 25 41 59 79 70 61 51
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR
$$
Forecaster...Gorse
Requested by...Mike Emmerich
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2416087.0/PHI
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.emmerich@dep.nj.gov