193
FNUS71 KPHI 042056
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Gorge fire...NJ forest fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
356 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will progress offshore tonight. Low pressure begins to
approach the area Thursday before a cold front stalls within the
vicinity of the area at night. Low pressure may form along this
stalled boundary on Friday before lifting into New England on
Saturday, pulling the boundary offshore. High pressure works in over
the weekend into early next week, but a few weak disturbances may
linger through the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (22600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................13 to 33.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.

TIME (EST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
Temp............69  66
RH..............63  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   2
20 FT wind gust.13  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  S
Transp wind spd.13  10
ADI.............33  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 to 8.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 3 mph.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  48  49  45  57  53  46  48  52  48  74  80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  59  59  58  57  57  57  57  57  58  59  59
RH..............75  87  87  90  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.10  9   10  10  12  12  12  13  13  14  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  13  12  13  13  12  13  13  13
ADI.............5   5   5   5   6   5   6   6   5   6   6   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   5   4   4   5   5   6   6   5   6   6   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain in the
                    morning. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent early in the morning, then
increasing to 80 percent late in the morning,
decreasing to 20 percent late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........97 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around
                    23 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (34700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................14 to 38.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph with gusts to around 14
                    mph shifting to the around 3 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  90  85  85  92  89  83  71  65  67  75  79
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC     SCH SCH
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN      RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   40  50  80  90  40  40  40  10  20  20  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   40  50  80  90  40  40  40  10  20  20  10
Temp............60  60  61  63  64  65  66  66  67  68  66  66
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 97  100 100 97  100 97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.16  17  20  21  21  22  23  22  21  18  17  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  12  13  13  13  14  13  13  11  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  18  20  17  20  18  16  14  15  14
ADI.............14  15  18  26  34  29  38  35  29  22  24  19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7   9   12  19  28  24  35  32  24  17  18  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MPS
Requested by...Kyle Kavanagh
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2625249.0/PHI
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyl.kavanagh4538@gmail.com