Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
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FNUS71 KPHI 141051
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Analomink...Silix
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
551 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will slowly shift eastward into the area through
Saturday. Low pressure will approach the area Saturday night,
with a warm front passing through the area. A cold front will
move through on Sunday. A few reinforcing shots of cool air
arrive Sunday into Monday. A weak disturbance should track to
the south of the region Tuesday, keeping conditions somewhat
unsettled. Otherwise, high pressure will gradually build in to
the area through mid-week.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the
southwest 5 to 14 mph in the late morning and
early afternoon, then shifting to the south 13
to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (23100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................3 to 32.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56 63 64 65 71 77 83 86 90 93 94
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40
Temp............28 30 35 41 45 48 50 51 52 51 50
RH..............96 100 85 70 62 56 54 54 54 59 66
20 FT wind dir..NW NW W SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.2 3 5 7 9 10 12 13 13 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.NW NW W SW W SW SW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.3 3 5 7 9 10 13 14 14 13 14
ADI.............3 4 6 13 22 26 32 31 21 17 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 4 8 15 18 23 21 17 12 13
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
early in the evening, then rain in the evening.
Chance of rain overnight.
CWR.................40 percent increasing to 90 percent in the
evening, then decreasing to 40 percent
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west
6 to 8 mph with gusts to around 21 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the west 13
to 15 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................8 to 13.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........96 97 96 95 94 92 92 87 85 82 80 75
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40 90 90 90 90 90 90 40 40 40 40 40
Chc of pcpn (%).40 90 90 90 90 90 90 40 40 40 40 40
Temp............48 46 44 42 42 43 45 46 47 48 48 47
RH..............74 86 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 96 93
20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.12 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 17 18 20 21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
Transp wind spd.14 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 15
ADI.............10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 12 12 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..14 15 11 8 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
early in the morning.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 28
mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 22 mph increasing to 33 to 39
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (84700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (140400
knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon,
then decreasing to excellent (98600 knot-ft)
late in the afternoon.
ADI.................0 to 19.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69 64 55 47 38 41 45 48 48 49 49 47
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).40 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............45 44 46 48 50 50 49 48 47 46 44 42
RH..............93 86 73 63 54 50 48 47 47 47 51 57
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12 10
20 FT wind gust.21 21 23 25 26 28 28 28 28 26 25 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 2.3 3.6 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 5.9 5.3 4.7 3.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.15 16 22 26 32 33 35 36 37 38 39 33
ADI.............17 19 15 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 12 42 85 140 160 180 202 190 176 161 99
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL GD
$$
Forecaster...MPS
Requested by...Shannon Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525913.0/PHI
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shannon@silvixforestry.com