Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Versions:
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FNUS71 KPHI 012355
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Range 34 Fire...JB MDL Fire
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
755 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 EDT on June 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains in control through Sunday morning, resulting
in light winds but only moderate RH recoveries overnight. Winds will
remain relatively light from the southwest on Sunday, but RH`s will
drop down into the 30s again. A weak system approaches for Sunday
night into Monday, possibly briging some helpful rain showers. High
pressure moves in on Monday night remaining in control through early
Wednesday. An upper level low then will move into the Great Lakes,
keeping things unsettled into next weekend.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3500 knot-ft).
ADI.................4 to 8.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 3 mph.
TIME (EDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24 25 23 23 31 50 59 69 74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............70 67 65 63 62 60 59 58 58
RH..............45 49 52 54 56 62 67 72 72
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW
Transp wind spd.9 10 12 12 12 10 12 12 10
ADI.............4 5 5 5 5 7 8 8 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (69000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 88 in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70 59 64 66 65 70 70 67 67 63 62 61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............58 61 66 71 75 79 82 83 84 84 84 84
RH..............75 72 68 59 54 45 40 38 36 36 36 37
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.5 5.1 6.2 6.4 6.3 5.9 5.6
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 14
ADI.............6 8 8 14 25 47 73 86 81 88 83 88
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 4 9 17 32 51 62 64 69 64 68
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers overnight. Patchy fog early in the
morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent overnight,
then decreasing to 40 percent early in the
morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (57300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................78 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
the night.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 4 mph decreasing to
around 3 mph overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60 62 66 62 63 71 69 71 78 78 79 78
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 40
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 40
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............82 80 77 74 72 71 70 69 65 65 64 63
RH..............40 42 50 55 61 66 68 70 81 84 87 93
20 FT wind dir..SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.13 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 8 8 7 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 13 12 10 12 10 12 10 8 9 8 7
ADI.............78 8 8 7 8 7 8 7 4 4 4 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..57 11 5 5 5 4 6 5 4 5 5 5
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Chance of showers early in the
morning, then slight chance of showers early in
the morning. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 20 percent early in
the morning, then decreasing to 10 percent late
in the afternoon increasing to 20 percent late
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east around 8
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (25100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................3 to 36.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast up to 4 mph late
in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76 74 71 67 63 59 55 51 47 47 47 46
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
CWR.............40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 20
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Temp............65 66 66 70 72 74 76 78 80 80 80 81
RH..............90 87 90 78 73 71 66 60 56 56 56 54
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W E E E E SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW SW SW SW W W W E E E E SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.4 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.1
Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W W NW N N N NE E
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 8
ADI.............3 7 8 13 20 26 29 32 36 36 35 32
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 9 14 18 21 23 25 25 24 22
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...George Forsyth III
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415481.0/PHI
.DELDT 06/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL george.forsyth@us.af.mil