095
FXUS65 KPIH 040809
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
109 AM MST Wed Nov 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Weak low moving through Utah will bring weak threat of
  precipitation in the southern parts of the forecast area today.

- A second weak low moving through the Idaho panhandle on
  Thursday will bring a weak threat of precipitation to the
  forecast area Thursday-Thursday Night.

- Expect temperatures in the 40s and 50s through most of the
  week. Temperatures start to rise slightly and hit 50s and 60s
  by Saturday under high pressure.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 AM MST Wed Nov 4 2026

An upper low to our south will continue tracking eastward today.
High resolution models keep precipitation south of the ID-UT border
with only very slight chances for showers across the extreme
southern extent of Idaho.

A weak shortwave will swing through the state on Thursday, bringing
low-end chances for precipitation across the higher terrain Thursday
evening through early Friday. High resolution models feature some
very light precipitation across the central and eastern mountains
with National Blend PoPs up to around 25 percent.

Daytime temperatures will remain very stable through late week with
widespread highs ranging the 40s. As weak high pressure takes hold
again, southwest flow will warm temperatures by 5 to 10 degrees on
Sunday. Temperatures will run about 5 degrees above climatological
norms early next week, ranging the 50s for much of Southeast
Idaho.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 925 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Looking at VFR ceilings tonight into Wednesday. Models show
some moisture working in around 5000 feet, but looks unlikely
that any MVFR ceilings will occur.

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Cropp
AVIATION...13