Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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895
FXUS65 KPIH 241934
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
134 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Colder temperatures in place through the weekend. Sub-freezing
  overnight temperatures will be possible in many locations.

- Dry weather through Monday.

- Next system arrives Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 134 PM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

High pressure is building back into the region behind departing
rain-maker. We did see areas of low clouds develop across
portions of East Idaho early this morning. Where skies remained
clear, temperatures were able to drop to near or below freezing.
Dry and continued cool conditions will continue into Monday,
though a gradual warming trend is expected for daytime highs.
The next system is projected to arrive as early as Monday
afternoon across portions of the central mountains, spreading
east through the evening and overnight. The system speed is
quick, which will limit precipitation amounts compared to the
most recent systems, but the forecast amounts have increased
very slightly from previous runs. This also translates to
slightly increased snow potential above valley floors as
temperatures drop once again with the system. We are still
looking at 1-3" above 6500-7000ft, but ridgetops could see
slightly higher amounts.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1055 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Conditions continue to slowly improve across eastern Idaho,
although it appears SUN and DIJ will be the last to see solid
MVFR/IFR conditions burn off. The Blend of Models and other
cross sections show low to mid level moisture hanging around, so
we are hesitant to lose any of those ceilings altogether.
Therefore, we kept few to scattered MVFR/IFR ceiling levels in
the TAFs but nothing going back to broken or overcast. We`ve
also kept fog out of the forecasts. We have seen quite a bit of
moisture in the past 24+ hours, but the only site that had fog
this morning was DIJ. None of the data shows fog returning
tonight, with might be a bit suspect given the precipitation
that occurred. We may have to rethink the potential for more
solid MVFR/IFR conditions overnight and tomorrow morning for
later TAF issuances.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 113 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Drier weather returns to the region for the weekend. Temperatures
will remain slightly below normal and winds relatively light.
Next system arrives Monday into Tuesday. Some breezy conditions
along with wetting rain/snow above 6500 feet is a good
possibility.

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DMH
AVIATION...Keyes
FIRE WEATHER...13