Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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187
FXUS65 KPIH 310755
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
155 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated to scattered storms this afternoon.

- Stronger wind Saturday and Sunday combines with very low humidity
for Red Flag conditions likely.

- Saturday highs will challenge the century mark in lower elevations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

High res models show another day of isolated to scattered thunderstorms
across central and east Idaho. As has been the case the past
few days, strong gusty outflow winds are the main impact. Gusts
approaching 50 mph are likely and even exceeding 50 mph in a few
instances. Heavy downpours under the core of the storms along
with small hail are possible as well. The ridge amplifies over
us on Saturday bringing heat of around 100 degrees to much of
the area. Good chance that we may see heat products issued once
again. Looks like that we get enough dry air that we`ll see a
break from the thunderstorms.

A dry cold front arrives on Sunday which brings cooler weather to
the area for the first half of next week. Weather looks continued
dry during this time. Winds over the weekend look breezy but not
strong enough for wind advisories.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Models show afternoon storms developing once again. Most likely
sites to see impacts from storms are DIJ, PIH, and IDA. Gusty
outflow winds are the most likely impact. Although a brief heavy
downpour reducing visibility is possible as well.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 153 AM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Hot, dry and windy conditions are looking more likely across
the central mountains into the upper Snake Plain for Saturday.
The fire weather watch remains in effect. Temperatures look
cooler Sunday but still expecting very dry and breezy
conditions. Strong possibility that we could see additional fire
products for Sunday.

&&

.AIR QUALITY...
Issued at 100 PM MDT Thu Jul 30 2026

Air quality alerts continue for Custer and Butte Counties for
the next 24 hours due to proximity and ideal trajectory of smoke
from wildfires. Blaine, Lincoln, Minidoka, and Cassia County
advisories have been lifted.

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday
evening for IDZ410-422-425-475-476.
Air Quality Alert until 3 PM MDT this afternoon for IDZ052-
067>074.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...13
FIRE WEATHER...13
AIR QUALITY...Messick