Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID
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694 FXUS65 KPIH 081101 AFDPIH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pocatello ID 501 AM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Much cooler temperatures through Wednesday - Good chance for widespread showers and storms Tuesday into Wednesday morning - Drying and warming trends along with breezy conditions later in the week through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 222 AM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026 Satellite imagery shows weak high pressure over the area with zonal flow aloft approaching from the west ahead of a Pacific trough located currently off the Washington and Oregon coasts. Expect warmer temperatures today, slightly above normal with overall light winds early before becoming breezy, especially for our western areas. The next Pacific shortwave pushes inland on Tuesday. Showers could arrive as early as Monday night, but much of the region should see at least some precipitation Tuesday along with a few thunderstorms. Wetting rains of at least 0.10" are expected for most higher elevation regions. Precipitation continues mainly across the north and northeast into early Wednesday. NBM chances of a two-day total of 0.25" exceed 50 percent for the Sawtooths, Frank Church, and most of the eastern highlands north of Soda Springs to the Divide, though most of that total should fall on Tuesday. Temperatures are expected to cool slightly under the influence of the cloud cover and precipitation, and breezy to windy conditions are expected both Tuesday and Wednesday. Gusts will be around 35 to 50 mph on Tuesday and around 25 to 40 mph on Wednesday. Overall dry westerly flow is expected Thursday and Friday and continue into the weekend, with a warming trend along with continued breezy conditions. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 452 AM MDT Mon Jun 8 2026 Wind has dropped off for all TAF sites currently. An approaching trough does keep the CIGS in the mid to high altitudes tonight into tomorrow afternoon. Expect winds to ramp up for all sites starting in the late afternoon/early evening with gusts of 20 to 25 kts expected for most TAF sites. After midnight, KSUN appears to start getting marginal VFR due to SHRA at KSUN and KDIJ while the three valley airports have a high likelihood of some marginal VFR for CIG after 09/06Z. VSBY should not be impacted outside of direct heavy showers. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 306 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026 Min RHs remain low today (below 15% for Fire Weather zones 425 and 427) with overall lighter gusts early today ahead of a system approaching that will come through tomorrow. Expect gusts of near 25 to 30 mph especially for western and northern ridge tops by late afternoon/early evening. On Tuesday expect strong winds gusts (35 to 50 mph) with increased RHs (min RHs of 25 to 60S%) with scattered showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms Tuesday with wetting rains likely for higher elevations. Precipitation chances continue into Wednesday morning mainly for Fire Weather zone 411. Temperatures remain below normal through Wednesday with drying and warming trends along with breezy conditions later in the week through the weekend. && .PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...TW AVIATION...TW FIRE WEATHER...TW