113
FNUS75 KPIH 151118
FWSPIH

Spot Forecast for South Valley Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
518 AM MDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 208-232-9357 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The wettest period has arrived. Periods of on and off rain,
showers, high elevation snow, and isolated thunderstorms are
expected today, with all elements except thunderstorms continuing
tonight and much of the day Thursday as well. Wetting rains are
guaranteed over the burn. Precipitation may mix with or change to
snow above about 7,000 feet elevation...so not far from the
burn...with several inches possible. Gusty and erratic winds can`t
be ruled out if a thunderstorm passes nearby today, although the
latest high-res guidance doesn`t support anything over a gust to
35 MPH. Winds will otherwise be light. Rain and showers should
start to break up and taper off during the mid to late afternoon
hours Thursday as this low pressure system lifts east, although
confidence in exact timing is low at this time.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain, showers, and isolated
                    thunderstorms on and off throughout the day.
CWR.................80 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....48 to 52 degrees.
Min humidity........66 to 71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds possible
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 12 MPH.
Rainfall amount.....0.20 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain and showers on and off
                    throughout the night.
CWR.................60 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....33 to 37 degrees.
Max humidity........95 to 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 MPH.
Rainfall amount.....0.26 inches.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain and showers, starting
                    to break up and taper off during the mid to
                    late afternoon.
CWR.................85 percent.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
Max temperature.....39 to 43 degrees.
Min humidity........80 to 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 MPH.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 MPH.
Rainfall amount.....0.25 inches.

$$

Forecaster...KSmith
Requested by...Thomson Danz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523178.1/PIH
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomson.danz@usda.gov,ryan.baum@usda.gov