762
FXZS60 NSTU 110100
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
200 PM SST Mon Nov 10 2025

.DISCUSSION...
The bulk of the trough responsible for the widespread showers from
yesterday has shifted east-southeast. However, remnants of the
trough just north-northwest of the islands continues to produce
showers on parts of the territory, as it migrates east-southeast.
Dry pockets shown on the upper air observations (RAOB) atmospheric
profile from this afternoon (11/00Z) indicates improving
conditions across the area with decreasing moisture content. Model
data is showing the trough lingering in the area as it oscillates
north and south while it weakens and strengthens from time to
time. As light winds are expected to prevail throughout the week,
the chance for air to remain stagnant and clouds to build over the
mountains is high. Thus, expect isolated to scattered showers with
light winds for the rest of the forecast period.

There is a low to no risk of any tropical system to develop or
move into our area of responsibility within the next 7 days.

&&

.Marine...
No significant swell is expected for this forecast period as ocean
conditions remain favorable throughout the week. Light winds with
seas around 4 to 6 feet will likely remain over the area through
at least Saturday. However, long periods from the northwest are
expected to reach shorelines on late Thursday through the end of
the week. With long periods, surfs are likely enhanced as they
reach shorelines, and rip currents are intensified. The risk of
rip currents will be low to moderate for this time frame.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Flood Watch cancelled

&&

$$

JTAllen