


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
264 FXZS60 NSTU 290110 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 210 PM SST Thu Aug 28 2025 .Short term... Satellite imagery shows a weakening trough to the west of American Samoa and continuing to move further away as a weak ridge of high pressure is now over the region. This ridge is contributing to decreasing clouds and easterly trades around 15 mph. Overall, this weather pattern isn`t expected to change much through Saturday evening. Easterly flow is to continue with only isolated to scattered (20 to 30% chance) passing showers throughout this time. If showers occur, flash flooding is not expected. The weak aforementioned high is to move eastward by Sunday to allow a better risk of passing showers for the second half of the weekend, but severe weather is not anticipated. .Long term... For Labor Day through mid-week, a strong high pressure system from the southwest will influence the region to enhance easterly winds reaching up to 25 mph at times. Showers are forecast to be in the passing form during this time, but more frequent compared to the current short term forecast. Also, more clouds than sun are expected throughout the days, but the likelihood severe weather remains low. && .Marine... A moderate easterly breeze is maintaining choppy conditions throughout the American Samoa coastal waters. A PacIOOS buoy to the east of Aunu`u shows seas around 8 to 9 feet as of this afternoon with short periods. Since period timing is low and seas are to slowly decrease, the High Surf Advisory for the eastern coasts will likely be cancelled by this evening or early Friday. However, seas are anticipated to only ease to 6 to 8 feet by the weekend as the moderate easterlies are to keep seas choppy. Expect seas to build next week as easterlies are forecast to become a fresh to strong breeze during this time. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... A High Surf Advisory remains in effect. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect. && $$ LaPlante