Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
453 FXZS60 NSTU 120110 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 210 PM SST Sat Oct 11 2025 .Short term... TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...Satellite shows an active trough up north of the islands with embedded thunderstorms. High pressure to the far southeast of the islands continues to migrate east southeast. However, a low level convergence is slowly developing across the Samoan islands. This convergence will potentially bring heavy rain and thunderstorms across the islands late tonight through Sunday night. Stable conditions will once again move across the islands on Monday. Breezy trades will persist tonight before diminishing to gentle flow on Sunday. As the trough up north retreats away from the islands, trades will again increase to breezy flow on Monday. .Long term... TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Stable conditions and breezy trades will persist through Wednesday. As the high pressure migrates south, the trough up north will descend near the islands on Wednesday night. This will increase showers to numerous before becoming widespread on Thursday and remains through the weekend. Showers will increase on the latter part of the new week while winds will diminish to gentle flow. && .Marine... Rough seas of 8 to 10 feet will slightly subside 7 to 9 feet tonight. These conditions will persist through Wednesday of the new week. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory remains in effect Small Craft Advisory remains in effect Flood Watch remains in effect && $$