Tropical Weather Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
732 AXPQ20 PGUM 030039 TWDPQ Tropical Weather Discussion National Weather Service Tiyan GU 1039 AM ChST Wed Jun 3 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the Western North Pacific between the Equator and 25N from 130E to 180. The following information is based on recent satellite imagery/data, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... None. ...OTHER WEATHER SYSTEMS... NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH... The NET remains anchored in place to where it has been the last day or two, entering Guam`s AOR at 8N130E and continuing eastward to a broad area of low pressure, now centered over Eauripik in central Yap State. It (the NET) then continues eastward through Chuuk, Pohnpei, Kosrae, and Majuro in a semi-wavy form, before exiting Guam`s AOR at 8N180. Convection continues to fire along and just north of the Eauripik circulation and NET, becoming confined to near the NET and south of it from 145E to the Date Line. The NET looks to remain in place the next several days with a similar convective pattern expected. TUTT... Today, the TUTT enters Guam`s AOR near 25N177E. It passes through Wake Island, where the nearby cell from yesterday has dissolved. The TUTT then continues southwest as it passes through a col centered near 10N154E (northeast of Chuuk), turning south- southeast to pass through an inflection point southwest of Pohnpei near 5N155E, before continuing west to a col near Koror at 6N134E. Here, it turns north and passes through a cell northwest of Koror and Yap near 14N133E, with the TUTT ending at a col north-northeast of there at 12N135E. The greatest concentration of moisture and convection is found to the south and east of the TUTT, especially east of 160E where moderate divergence northeast of Pohnpei becomes strong southeast of Wake Island. In general, this TUTT pattern looks to continue for another 48 hours. After that, the upper-level pattern will reorientate itself. ...ITCZ... The ITCZ has expanded much further west, which is also much quicker than models progged. Today, the ITCZ remains centered near 8N, as it aligns with the NET, but cross-equatorial flow in the streamline analysis is readily apparent from Eauripik in central Yap State eastward to the Date Line and Beyond. This looks to continue for several days with fairly expansive convection probable between the equator and 10N, as this setup looks like the atmosphere it preconditioning itself for a prolonged westerly flow/WWB event. Typically this "steadfast pattern" evolves a good week to 10 days before WWB`s become more prominent. Stay tuned! $$ Doll