Tropical Weather Discussion
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043
AXPQ20 PGUM 020036
TWDPQ

Tropical Weather Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
1036 AM ChST Mon Nov 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the Western North Pacific between
the Equator and 25N from 130E to 180. The following information is
based on recent satellite imagery/data, weather observations, radar,
and meteorological analysis.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL CYCLONES...
Typhoon In-fa continues to weaken as it moves into cooler waters
and fights both upper-level wind shear and dry air. The latest
visible imagery shows In-fa located south of Iwo To at 22.2N
141.7E, and is moving west at 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds have
decreased to 85 mph, and this trend is expected to continue
through tonight. In-fa may then briefly re-strengthen some over
the next couple of days as it turns northwestward, before
weakening further and rapidly ejecting northeastward towards the
latter half of the week, heading into the north Pacific.

For more information please refer to bulletins from the Joint
Typhoon Warning Center under WMO header WTPN31 PGTW and from the
National Weather Service under WMO header WTPQ31 PGUM.

...OTHER WEATHER SYSTEMS...

MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough enters Guam`s AOR near EQ140E and extends to a
developing, weak circulation southeast of Chuuk/east of Satawan
near 4.6N 155.1E. The trough then extends east-northeast through
Kosrae, passing Majuro to its south, and exiting the AOR near
9N160. This circulation itself is very broad and resembles more
of a "cusp circulation" than a true tropical circulation that
would warrant monitoring more closely. As such, we don`t expect
this "cusp circulation" to do much. As for the trough itself,
increased surface convergence along and south of it is promoting
scattered shower development, with a few thunderstorms mixed in as
well.

Looking ahead, we expect the trough to gradually build west
through the remainder of the week, taking on an east to west
alignment near 5N or 6N. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will continue to develop near and south of this
feature through the weekend.

$$

Doll