Tropical Weather Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
079 AXPQ20 PGUM 070105 TWDPQ Tropical Weather Discussion National Weather Service Tiyan GU 1105 AM ChST Mon Sep 7 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the Western North Pacific between the Equator and 25N from 130E to 180. The following information is based on recent satellite imagery/data, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... None. ...OTHER WEATHER SYSTEMS... MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough enters our Area of Responsibility (AOR) near 25N134E, extending southeast through a col centered north-northeast of the Marianas. From there, the trough continues south-southeast towards eastern Micronesia, passing through an embedded circulation centered near 10N167E (northeast of Enewetak) before exiting the Date Line to the east around 10N. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring about 180 to 200 miles south of the trough axis from 130E to 144E, just east of the Marianas. In addition, a line of convergence begins at the center of the previously mentioned circulation, extends over Majuro, and exits the AOR at the Date Line south of the monsoon trough around 5N. Widespread cloud cover, scattered to numerous showers, and convection are evident along and south of this convergence. The monsoon trough is expected to remain fairly unchanged in intensity and location for the next few days, potentially spinning up several embedded disturbances. SURFACE TROUGHS... A surface trough extends southwest from the circulation near Enewetak, centered near 10N167E, to the Equator around 145E. An area of numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms is occurring south of Eauripik and Satawal of eastern Yap State, as well as Weno, Chuuk. The trough will maintain its current intensity and location as the circulation moves to the west. TRADE-WIND TROUGHS... A trade-wind trough extends from 16N167E west-northwest to 20N162E. The leading edge of the trough is allowing for deep convection, numerous showers, and isolated thunderstorms west of Wake Island. A few thunderstorms trail behind under cirrus from previous thunderstorm activity, well to the west-southwest and northeast of Wake. This trough looks to continue moving west while maintaining its current intensity over the next several days. Another trade-wind trough is located from 13N179E extending north- northwest to 19N175E. Shower activity is not as impressive as the trough mentioned above, however, convection is initiating near the northern-most tip of the trough axis. Isolated to scattered showers and partly to mostly cloudy skies are characteristic of this trough. Over the next few days, this trough will remain nearly-stationary while maintaining its current intensity. $$ Mesa