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WWPQ82 PGUM 150644
SPSPQ2

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
444 PM ChST Sat Aug 15 2026

PMZ172-160800-
CHUUK-
444 PM ChST Sat Aug 15 2026

...A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEARBY BRINGS HEAVIER SHOWERS AND GUSTY
WINDS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...

An unsettled monsoon pattern, associated with Invest 92W continues
to intensify across eastern Micronesia. Invest 92W is currently rated
sub-low by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, which means development
into a significant tropical cyclone is not expected at this time.
However, the latest ASCAT pass does show a low-level circulation
center with near gale winds to the south of Chuuk. This indicates at
least a bit of organization that could bump 92W up to low later
tonight or Sunday. Somewhat of a lull in showers and storms is
occurring due to changes in Invest 92Ws structure, and drier air
mixing into the storm. Conditions are expected to become more
favorable for development of the storm next week. Periods of locally
heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected through much of next
week. Gusty winds are expected near heavier showers.

Additional rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible through
next week, with additional rainfall possible next weekend.
These rainfall amounts could result in flash flooding and
potential mudslides. Towards the latter half of next week, a monsoon
surge could develop and continue to impact Chuuk. Residents across
Chuuk State should monitor local forecasts and heed advice of
emergency managers when heavy rainfall occurs.

$$

Williams