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FNUS76 KPQR 162137
FWSPQR

Spot Forecast for Foley Ridge...USFS WIF
National Weather Service Portland OR
237 PM PDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Weak frontal system approaches the region on Friday
but looks to dissipate before reaching the fire area. However,
will cause winds to be more  westerly. The big feature
arrives in the long term forecast as a strong cold west system
moves over the Pacific Northwest late Saturday into Sunday.
Looking at a significant wetting rain. While cold, not expecting
heavy snow, but rain rates could be high enough for debris flow
impacts on strongly burned and steep terrain. Overnight as
temperatures drop, cannot rule out a period of light snow but
accumulation is not expected due to the ground being too warm.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Light becoming west 6 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
 Ridgetop...........West 5 to 7 mph becoming northwest 3 to 6 mph
after 2400.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........West 3 to 6 mph becoming 8 to 10 mph with gusts up to
15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...
Cooler, rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds around 6 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs around 60. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy with chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s.

$$
Forecaster...Muessle
Requested by...Mark Huff
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523269.7/PQR
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2025.foleyridge.situation@firenet.gov,mark_huff@firenet.gov