Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, OR

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Spot Forecast for Piper Lake Fire...SA-Gray Team
National Weather Service Portland OR
633 PM PDT Sat Aug 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on August 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Generally low fire weather concerns as onshore flow prevails
into next week, promoting average temperatures and good overnight humidity
recoveries. Shower chances will be a bit higher on Sunday (20-30%). Can`t
rule out a few lightning strikes (10-20% chance of thunder) along the crest
in the afternoon, but mostly expect any thunderstorm activity to remain off
to the east. Trending drier on Monday with no rain showers or thunderstorms
expected. Minimum humidity values still only in the 40s. Northwest winds
increasing to 5 to 10 mph each afternoon, with a few gusts as high as 15 mph
possible on ridges and over exposed terrain.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
thunderstorms.
 Ridgetop...........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph with
gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds possible near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  46  51  59  64  56  48  34  51  43  30  38
Weather cov.....                                CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  10
Temp............47  49  53  54  57  59  61  62  62  62  62  60
RH..............83  79  69  68  67  64  64  61  58  60  62  65
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   8   10  11  12  13  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.1 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  12

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms early evening.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming light.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming light. Gusts
to 15 mph early evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  38  52  55  56  56  56  56  54  54  54  54
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  57  53  50  49  47  46  45  44  43  43  42
RH..............66  71  72  78  81  83  85  86  88  87  87  86
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  13  13  11  11  11  8   8   8   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   7   7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph
with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  54  19  19  19  10  10  10  9   9   9   21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  45  47  50  53  56  57  59  60  60  61  61
RH..............81  76  71  65  59  53  52  50  49  49  49  49
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   8   8   8   11  11  11  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...
Partly sunny. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly sunny. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$
Forecaster...Burling
Requested by...Mark Huff, PSC3
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518848.2/PQR
.DELDT 08/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark_huff@firenet.gov,2025.piperlake.plans@firenet.gov