Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
543 FNUS55 KPSR 152203 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 303 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 .DISCUSSION... Moisture will gradually increase across much of Arizona over the next couple of days providing increased chances for showers and thunderstorms focused across higher terrain areas. Temperatures will drop off from near normal today to below normal Wednesday and Thursday. Afternoon MinRHs will improve with readings around 20% today and 25% Wednesday and Thursday. Expect south southwesterly gusts of 20-30 mph at times over the CO River Valley with more diurnal lighter winds over the eastern districts. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-161015- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 303 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................78-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................97-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................20-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................79-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............23 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................96-102. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 99-105. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 101-107. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 101-108. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-161015- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 303 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 /303 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................18-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 17 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................98-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................23-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-81. Highs 101-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 103-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 103-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 104-109. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 104-109. $$ AZZ133-161015- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 303 PM MST Tue Jul 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................64-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................50-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............31 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-98. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............50 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening becoming chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................63-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................49-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............42 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-98. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................23-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............45 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 87-101. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-103. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62-80. Highs 87-101. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62-80. Highs 89-102. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 89-103. $$ CAZ232-161015- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 303 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................76-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................16-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................77-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................20-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 96-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 98-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 99-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 99-109. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 99-109. $$ CAZ230-161015- Joshua Tree National Park- 303 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................66-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming south 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-101. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................17-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................83-97. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................22-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-80. Highs 86-100. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 89-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 89-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-79. Highs 89-102. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-79. Highs 89-103. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday July 23rd through Friday July 25th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.