Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
868 FNUS55 KPSR 160755 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1255 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .DISCUSSION... Increased moisture and cooler temperatures are expected through Thursday with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms focused more over higher terrain areas. Drying conditions by Friday will mostly end any chances across the lower deserts. Afternoon MinRHs will only dip to between 25-30% for much of the area today and Thursday before dropping closer to 20% by Friday. Expect south southeasterly gusts of 20-30 mph today over the CO River Valley before dropping off on Thursday with more diurnal lighter winds over the eastern districts. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-162000- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1255 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................96-102. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................78-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................46-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............22 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................96-102. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-105. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 99-106. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 100-106. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-162000- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1255 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /1255 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................100-105. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................21-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 18 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................99-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........11100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-81. Highs 101-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 103-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 103-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 102-107. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 103-108. $$ AZZ133-162000- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1255 AM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-97. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................24-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............33 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................62-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................53-78 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............33 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-98. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................25-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............50 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62-80. Highs 87-102. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 87-103. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64-80. Highs 89-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-101. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-101. $$ CAZ232-162000- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1255 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................17-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................77-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................94-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................21-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-84. Highs 96-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-84. Highs 98-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-84. Highs 99-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-83. Highs 98-107. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-82. Highs 98-108. $$ CAZ230-162000- Joshua Tree National Park- 1255 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-101. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................17-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-79. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................83-97. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-80. Highs 85-99. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-80. Highs 88-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-80. Highs 89-102. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-79. Highs 88-102. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 88-102. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday July 23rd through Friday July 25th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.