Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
706 FNUS55 KPSR 150730 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1230 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .DISCUSSION... A large weather system will slowly move through the region this weekend bringing cooler temperatures, increased humidities, and fairly widespread rainfall. Rain chances will peak across the western districts during the daytime hours today and during the first half of Sunday for the eastern districts. A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible, which may produce locally heavier rainfall amounts. MinRHs today will range from 25-30% over the eastern districts to 50-70% for the western districts. Sunday will bring MinRHs of 40-60% areawide. Expect periodic breeziness over the weekend. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-151930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1230 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................29-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...0 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 15 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................55-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................77-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................32 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning becoming slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................67-73. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................38-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...30 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 50-60. Highs 67-74. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48-58. Highs 60-67. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 60-66. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 61-68. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 60-68. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-151930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1230 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /1130 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................72-78. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................55-66 pct. * 24 hr trend..................30 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph in the morning becoming 45 to 55 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 24 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................53-58. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................43-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 50-56. Highs 69-74. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 48-56. Highs 64-69. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-53. Highs 63-68. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-53. Highs 66-71. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 45-53. Highs 65-70. $$ AZZ133-151930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1230 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................68-81. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................24-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................46-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................75-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................36 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................55-68. * 24 hr trend..................13 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................58-75 pct. * 24 hr trend..................40 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............17 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 39-54. Highs 55-68. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 38-54. Highs 52-65. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 34-50. Highs 47-60. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 34-49. Highs 48-61. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 34-49. Highs 50-63. $$ CAZ232-151930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1130 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................66-75. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................53-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................26 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph in the morning becoming 45 to 55 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................51-58. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................73-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph in the evening becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................63-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................41-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 49-56. Highs 63-73. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 48-56. Highs 58-68. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-54. Highs 59-69. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-54. Highs 61-71. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 47-54. Highs 59-69. $$ CAZ230-151930- Joshua Tree National Park- 1130 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................56-67. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................67-80 pct. * 24 hr trend..................31 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 40 to 50 mph. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................100 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................40-51. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the evening becoming southwest 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................40 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................50-66. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................52-77 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows 38-50. Highs 51-65. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 38-49. Highs 47-59. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 38-48. Highs 49-61. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 38-48. Highs 51-63. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 38-48. Highs 47-60. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday November 22nd through Monday November 24th: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.