Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
176 FNUS55 KPSR 162059 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 159 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .DISCUSSION... Increased moisture and cooler temperatures are continue through tomorrow with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms primarily focused over higher terrain areas. Drying conditions begin tomorrow evening and continue into the weekend. These drying conditions will end almost any rain or storm chances across the lower deserts. Afternoon MinRHs will be between 25-30% tomorrow before dropping closer to 20% by Friday. Expect south southeasterly gusts of 20-30 mph this afternoon and evening over the CO River Valley before dropping off tomorrow with more diurnal lighter winds over the eastern districts. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-170900- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 159 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................78-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................47-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............30 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................96-102. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............18 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 6 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................78-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................99-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 77-87. Highs 99-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-106. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-107. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-170900- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 159 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 /159 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 20 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................99-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................23-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . * Min Temperature.................78-83. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................47-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 103-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-81. Highs 102-107. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-81. Highs 102-107. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 102-107. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 103-108. $$ AZZ133-170900- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 159 PM MST Wed Jul 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................61-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................59-82 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............37 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................84-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............44 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................62-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-69 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming north after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............32 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................88-102. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............33 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-103. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64-80. Highs 87-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 88-101. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-80. Highs 87-102. $$ CAZ232-170900- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 159 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................78-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................94-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................21-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. slight chance of showers . * Min Temperature.................77-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-67 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................16-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-84. Highs 98-108. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 76-82. Highs 98-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-82. Highs 97-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-82. Highs 98-107. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-82. Highs 98-107. $$ CAZ230-170900- Joshua Tree National Park- 159 PM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................82-96. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................24-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................68-79. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................86-99. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................19-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 68-79. Highs 89-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 89-102. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-78. Highs 87-101. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-77. Highs 87-101. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-77. Highs 88-102. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday July 24th through Saturday July 26th: Above normal temperatures and below median precipitation.