Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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876
FNUS55 KPSR 220709
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1209 AM MST Sun Sep 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will gradually build over the region early this week
resulting in warmer temperatures and dry conditions. Above normal
temperatures with lower desert highs topping 100 degrees are
expected starting Monday. MinRHs will fall from 10-15% over the
lower deserts today to 8-12% starting Monday with higher terrain
areas seeing up to 20%. Expect a more traditional diurnal wind
pattern across the region over the next several days with little
to no breeziness.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-221915-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
1209 AM MST Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................94-99.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................13-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming northwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 3 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................68-78.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................27-38 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming northeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................98-103.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................10-14 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 3 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 100-106. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 101-107. East winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 72-82. Highs 101-107. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 101-107.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69-79. Highs 100-105.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-221915-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
1209 AM MST Sun Sep 22 2024 /1209 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................97-102.
*    24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................13-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming northwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........9500 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................68-74.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................31-42 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming north after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................101-106.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................10-14 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........11900 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 5 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-76. Highs 102-107. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 103-108. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 103-108. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 70-76. Highs 103-108.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69-75. Highs 101-106.

$$

AZZ133-221915-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
1209 AM MST Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................79-94.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................15-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................53-70.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................32-49 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming northeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................82-98.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................13-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54-74. Highs 85-101. East winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-76. Highs 86-102. East winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 58-76. Highs 87-103. East winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 58-75. Highs 88-103.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58-74. Highs 86-102.

$$

CAZ232-221915-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
1209 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................93-101.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................12-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................71-79.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................24-44 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................97-106.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................10-14 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 73-80. Highs 98-107. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 73-79. Highs 98-107. West winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 73-79. Highs 98-108. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 72-79. Highs 98-107.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 69-78. Highs 96-105.

$$

CAZ230-221915-
Joshua Tree National Park-
1209 AM PDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................83-96.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................13-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming east in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................64-73.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................27-32 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming northwest after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening
  becoming east after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................85-99.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................10-14 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  morning becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 66-74. Highs 87-101. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 65-74. Highs 87-101. West winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-74. Highs 87-100. West winds
5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-74. Highs 86-101.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 62-73. Highs 85-100.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday September 29th through Tuesday
October 1st: Above normal temperatures and below median
precipitation.