Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
167 FNUS55 KPSR 150915 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 215 AM MST Sat Jun 15 2024 ...Elevated Fire Weather Conditions Sunday and Monday across Arizona... .DISCUSSION... Hot, very dry, and breezy conditions are expected through Monday with the strongest winds Sunday and Monday resulting in elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. Wind speeds will gradually increase over the weekend with afternoon gusts at times reaching 20-25 mph today and 25-30 mph on Sunday and Monday. Higher terrain areas in Arizona are likely to see the strongest winds on Monday with gusts as highs as 30-35 mph possible. Afternoon humidity levels will continue to fall into the 5-10% range following poor overnight recovery of only 15-30%. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-152115- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 215 AM MST Sat Jun 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-112. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................72-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................20-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-110. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 17 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 98-105. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 97-103. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 68-78. Highs 98-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-81. Highs 105-111. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-84. Highs 108-115. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-152115- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 215 AM MST Sat Jun 15 2024 /215 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................72-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................8-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 101-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 99-104. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 100-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-78. Highs 105-110. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-80. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-152115- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 215 AM MST Sat Jun 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-108. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................62-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 59-73. Highs 88-102. South winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-71. Highs 87-100. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-74. Highs 89-103. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62-81. Highs 95-110. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-81. Highs 95-110. $$ CAZ232-152115- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 215 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................72-79. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................17-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................100-109. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................6-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 70-78. Highs 96-106. West winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-76. Highs 95-104. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-78. Highs 95-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-81. Highs 100-110. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-82. Highs 103-113. $$ CAZ230-152115- Joshua Tree National Park- 215 AM PDT Sat Jun 15 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................64-74. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................16-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-103. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................7-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60-74. Highs 85-100. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 60-73. Highs 84-97. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 61-74. Highs 85-100. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 63-76. Highs 89-104. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66-79. Highs 92-107. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday June 22nd through Monday June 24th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.