Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
922 FNUS55 KPSR 192114 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 214 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .DISCUSSION... Periodic showers along with a few isolated thunderstorms will affect much of Arizona through tonight providing very good chances for wetting rains. Thursday will bring lingering chances for wetting rains in central AZ before transitioning into the eastern AZ higher terrain by tomorrow afternoon into the evening. Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-200915- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 214 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................46-56. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................60-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................37-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................17 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................47-57. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................75-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...0 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................57-64. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................56-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...30 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......East 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 60-66. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 62-67. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 65-70. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 67-72. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44-54. Highs 68-73. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-200915- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 214 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 /114 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................44-49. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................65-70. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................36-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening becoming chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................49-55. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................93-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming south 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................58-63. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................72-84 pct. * 24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northeast 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-54. Highs 61-66. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 66-71. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Highs 67-72. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Highs 68-73. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 69-74. $$ AZZ133-200915- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 214 PM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................37-50. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................93-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the evening becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............28 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................45-58. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................59-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................31-47. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................82-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................50-62. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................46-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 35-51. Highs 52-64. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 32-48. Highs 50-62. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 56-68. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-49. Highs 58-71. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-49. Highs 58-71. $$ CAZ232-200915- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 114 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................45-52. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................64-89 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................60-72. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................31-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening becoming showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................48-55. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................77-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................53-63. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................63-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................34 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 47-56. Highs 57-66. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 63-72. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 65-73. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 65-74. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 65-74. $$ CAZ230-200915- Joshua Tree National Park- 114 PM PST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................36-45. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................70-92 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................50-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................40-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................37-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................43-55. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................74-92 pct. * 24 hr trend..................34 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming east 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............6 percent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 39-49. Highs 48-58. North winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 55-66. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 58-68. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 58-68. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 57-67. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday November 27th through Saturday November 29th: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.