Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
218 FNUS55 KPSR 180756 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1256 AM MST Tue Jun 18 2024 .DISCUSSION... Overall light winds are expected over the next couple days with near normal temperatures. The dry conditions will however persist with daily MinRHs around 10% and overnight MaxRHs between 20-40%. Starting Thursday, moisture will creep into much of southern and central Arizona providing daily shower and thunderstorm chances over the eastern Arizona high terrain. Humidities will also noticeably improve later this week over higher terrain areas, but CWR will stay low at mostly below 10%. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-182000- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1256 AM MST Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................68-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-84. Highs 104-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-85. Highs 107-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 106-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 106-111. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 106-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-182000- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1256 AM MST Tue Jun 18 2024 /1256 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................98-103. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................68-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-79. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-81. Highs 109-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 77-84. Highs 108-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 109-114. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 110-115. $$ AZZ133-182000- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1256 AM MST Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-99. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................59-72. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-102. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 64-80. Highs 91-108. Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph. .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-80. Highs 90-108. Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-82. Highs 92-107. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-82. Highs 93-108. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-82. Highs 92-107. $$ CAZ232-182000- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1256 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-103. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................5-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-76. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................19-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................96-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 72-81. Highs 99-109. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 74-83. Highs 103-113. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 104-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 105-115. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 105-116. $$ CAZ230-182000- Joshua Tree National Park- 1256 AM PDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-96. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................4-8 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................19-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................84-99. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 87-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 65-80. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 70-82. Highs 93-107. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 70-83. Highs 95-109. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 70-83. Highs 95-110. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Tuesday June 25th through Thursday June 27th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.