Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
180 FNUS55 KPSR 142058 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 158 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025 .DISCUSSION... A large weather system will slowly move through the region through the weekend bringing cooler temperatures, increased humidities, and widespread rainfall. Rain chances will increase across the region this weekend with widespread wetting rains likely for Saturday for the western districts and on Sunday for the eastern districts. A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible, which may produce locally heavier rainfall amounts. MinRHs will also rise to 40-70% over the weekend. Expect periodic breeziness over the weekend. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-150900- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 158 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................56-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-74 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................72-81. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................32-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................22 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 35 to 45 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......3600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms . * Min Temperature.................55-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................77-97 pct. * 24 hr trend..................28 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 40 to 50 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................65-73. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................44-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 13 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 50-60. Highs 66-73. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48-58. Highs 62-69. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-58. Highs 63-69. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-58. Highs 63-70. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 47-57. Highs 63-71. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-150900- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 158 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025 /1258 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................61-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................69-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................18 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming north after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning becoming showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................71-77. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................57-67 pct. * 24 hr trend..................32 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........2700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 15 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening becoming slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................53-58. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................81-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................68-73. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................47-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 49-57. Highs 68-73. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48-57. Highs 63-68. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-53. Highs 65-70. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 48-54. Highs 65-70. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-54. Highs 67-72. $$ AZZ133-150900- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 158 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................43-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................67-80. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................25-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming southwest 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................46-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................74-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................34 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the evening becoming southwest 35 to 45 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................54-67. * 24 hr trend..................13 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................60-79 pct. * 24 hr trend..................41 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 40 to 50 mph in the morning becoming 30 to 40 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............21 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 39-53. Highs 55-68. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 38-53. Highs 53-66. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 37-51. Highs 51-64. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 36-51. Highs 52-64. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34-50. Highs 52-64. $$ CAZ232-150900- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1258 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers . * Min Temperature.................60-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................66-94 pct. * 24 hr trend..................29 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning becoming showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................65-73. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................54-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................27 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 40 to 50 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............19 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening becoming slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................51-58. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................74-98 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph in the evening becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................62-73. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................44-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 50-57. Highs 62-73. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48-57. Highs 58-68. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-56. Highs 60-69. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 49-56. Highs 60-70. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 49-56. Highs 61-70. $$ CAZ230-150900- Joshua Tree National Park- 1258 PM PST Fri Nov 14 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................50-61. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-99 pct. * 24 hr trend..................24 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers . slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................55-66. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................67-81 pct. * 24 hr trend..................31 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 45 to 55 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............17 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................40-51. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................50-65. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................55-80 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 39-50. Highs 50-65. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 38-50. Highs 47-60. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 38-49. Highs 50-62. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 39-49. Highs 50-63. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 40-50. Highs 50-62. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday November 22nd through Monday November 24th: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.