Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
341 FNUS55 KPSR 152036 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 136 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .DISCUSSION... A weather system slowly moving through the region this weekend will result in cooler temperatures, increased humidities, and widespread wetting rainfall. A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible producing isolated heavier rainfall amounts. Minimum humidity values will range from 25-35% over the eastern districts to 50-80% for the western districts today, then settling in a 40-70% range Sunday. Overnight recovery should be good to excellent. Locally gusty winds will also be possible, though with gusts likely remaining below 30 mph. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-160845- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 136 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms. chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................55-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................75-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................29 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 40 to 50 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. * Max Temperature.................67-75. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................35-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent west portion...40 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 15 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................51-61. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................72-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................5 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................66-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................43-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................4 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......4600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 46-57. Highs 59-66. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 59-66. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44-54. Highs 60-68. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 60-68. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45-55. Highs 64-70. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-160845- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 136 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 /1236 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................53-59. * 24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................78-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................70-75. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................40-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................5 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................50-56. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................81-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................69-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................43-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-56. Highs 63-68. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-50. Highs 63-68. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-52. Highs 65-70. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-52. Highs 63-69. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Highs 65-70. $$ AZZ133-160845- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 136 PM MST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening. chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................46-59. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................72-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................33 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Showers likely in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................55-69. * 24 hr trend..................13 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................54-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............20 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. * Min Temperature.................39-53. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................55-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................48-69 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 37-54. Highs 50-63. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 33-49. Highs 46-60. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 32-47. Highs 48-61. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 32-48. Highs 48-62. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 33-48. Highs 53-66. $$ CAZ232-160845- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1236 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................51-59. * 24 hr trend..................11 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................73-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph in the evening becoming southwest 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................64-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................39-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................2 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................50-57. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................69-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................63-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................39-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-56. Highs 58-68. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-53. Highs 58-69. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-55. Highs 60-70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 47-55. Highs 58-69. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 47-54. Highs 60-70. $$ CAZ230-160845- Joshua Tree National Park- 1236 PM PST Sat Nov 15 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................40-51. * 24 hr trend..................11 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................52-66. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................50-76 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................3 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................40-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................79-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................52-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................52-77 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 36-49. Highs 46-59. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 36-47. Highs 48-60. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 37-47. Highs 49-61. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 37-47. Highs 48-60. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37-48. Highs 49-60. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday November 23rd through Tuesday November 25th: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.