Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
412 FNUS55 KPSR 190725 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1225 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .DISCUSSION... Periodic showers along with a few isolated thunderstorms will affect much of Arizona through tonight providing very good chances for wetting rains. Thursday will bring lingering chances for wetting rains over the eastern AZ higher terrain in the morning with rain chances increasing by Thursday evening across the western districts. Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-191930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1225 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................60-66. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................50-73 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...60 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............14 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................46-56. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming west after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming west 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...70 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................60-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................40-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......6400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 58-65. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 62-67. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 44-54. Highs 64-70. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 66-71. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 67-72. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-191930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1225 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 /1125 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................63-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................43-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................43-48. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................65-70. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................37-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 46-54. Highs 59-64. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-53. Highs 62-67. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 67-72. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 69-74. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 69-74. $$ AZZ133-191930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1225 AM MST Wed Nov 19 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................53-65. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................56-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............16 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers in the evening. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely after midnight. * Min Temperature.................37-50. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................93-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............13 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning becoming chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................45-58. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................61-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 31-49. Highs 50-62. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 34-49. Highs 54-67. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 32-48. Highs 52-65. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 57-68. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 57-70. $$ CAZ232-191930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1125 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................59-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................34-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................45-52. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................66-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................60-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................33-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 48-56. Highs 54-64. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 48-55. Highs 59-68. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 65-74. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 67-75. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-55. Highs 66-75. $$ CAZ230-191930- Joshua Tree National Park- 1125 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................49-61. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................45-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................35-45. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................71-92 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................50-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................41-59 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 38-49. Highs 44-55. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 39-50. Highs 51-61. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 57-68. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-51. Highs 60-70. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 58-69. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday November 26th through Friday November 28th: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.