Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
341 FNUS55 KPSR 202121 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 221 PM MST Thu Nov 20 2025 .DISCUSSION... Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. Another weather system is expected to move mainly across the western districts late tonight and continuing through Friday leading to very good chances for wetting rains. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-210930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 221 PM MST Thu Nov 20 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................47-57. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................71-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent west portion...0 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................58-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................47-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......North 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Marginal. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................48-58. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................74-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning becoming chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................60-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................50-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......1700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southeast 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 61-67. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 63-69. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 66-71. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-53. Highs 68-73. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 69-74. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-210930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 221 PM MST Thu Nov 20 2025 /121 PM PST Thu Nov 20 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................49-54. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming 60 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................58-63. * 24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................69-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................38 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................90 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............7 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northeast 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................49-54. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................96-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................59-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................70-81 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Highs 65-70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Highs 66-71. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 68-73. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 69-74. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 70-75. $$ AZZ133-210930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 221 PM MST Thu Nov 20 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................31-47. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. * Max Temperature.................51-63. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................43-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................25 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................37-53. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................61-77 pct. * 24 hr trend..................24 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................55-67. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................40-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34-51. Highs 46-59. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-47. Highs 54-64. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 31-48. Highs 57-70. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-49. Highs 58-71. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33-50. Highs 60-72. $$ CAZ232-210930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 121 PM PST Thu Nov 20 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening becoming showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................48-55. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................53-62. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................62-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................35 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................90 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............9 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................48-56. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................56-64. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................62-81 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 62-71. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 63-72. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 65-74. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-56. Highs 66-75. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-57. Highs 68-76. $$ CAZ230-210930- Joshua Tree National Park- 121 PM PST Thu Nov 20 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening becoming showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................39-49. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the evening becoming south 20 to 30 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Cloudy. Showers in the morning becoming showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................43-54. * 24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................74-89 pct. * 24 hr trend..................34 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming east 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................80 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................80 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................38-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................89-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning becoming slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................47-58. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................69-86 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 15 to 25 mph in the morning becoming 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 55-66. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 40-49. Highs 56-66. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 56-67. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-51. Highs 57-68. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-52. Highs 60-70. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday November 28th through Sunday November 30th: above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.