Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
039 FNUS55 KPSR 230744 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1244 AM MST Thu May 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... Dry and tranquil conditions will continue through the next few days, with temperatures hovering right around normal for this time of year. Winds will follow typical diurnal trends with occasional afternoon gusts around 20 mph today before increasing on Friday with gusts commonly reaching 25 mph over the eastern districts to up to 35 mph across southeast CA. MinRH values will range between 8-15% through Friday before improving to 10-20% Saturday, while MaxRHs improve from 25-40% today to 35-50% by Saturday. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-231945- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1244 AM MST Thu May 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-96. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 12 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................61-71. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 20 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58-68. Highs 84-90. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 90-95. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 63-73. Highs 95-101. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65-75. Highs 98-103. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-77. Highs 98-104. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-231945- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1244 AM MST Thu May 23 2024 /1244 AM PDT Thu May 23 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-98. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................62-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 14 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 58-63. Highs 86-91. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59-66. Highs 91-96. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 64-69. Highs 97-102. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 65-70. Highs 100-105. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-71. Highs 100-105. $$ AZZ133-231945- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1244 AM MST Thu May 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................76-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-62. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................78-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 47-62. Highs 72-86. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 47-65. Highs 77-92. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 50-67. Highs 83-97. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 53-69. Highs 85-99. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-69. Highs 85-99. $$ CAZ232-231945- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1244 AM PDT Thu May 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-97. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................62-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 57-65. Highs 81-90. West winds 15 to 25 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 58-70. Highs 87-95. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 64-72. Highs 92-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 67-74. Highs 95-104. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 68-74. Highs 96-106. $$ CAZ230-231945- Joshua Tree National Park- 1244 AM PDT Thu May 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................77-93. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................52-64. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................72-90. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................13-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 45-62. Highs 69-86. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 49-66. Highs 76-90. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56-69. Highs 81-95. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-70. Highs 84-99. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-71. Highs 85-100. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Thursday May 30th through Saturday June 1st: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.