Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
087 FNUS55 KPSR 162023 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 123 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .DISCUSSION... A brief respite to the active weather pattern will occur through Monday afternoon, however wetting rainfall chances return by Tuesday morning as temperatures continue to cool into a below normal range. Minimum humidity values will range between 40-70% with good to excellent overnight recovery of 60-100%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-170830- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 123 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-59. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................71-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................68-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................43-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......4700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................53-63. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................80-97 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................60-68. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................44-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...60 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......4000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 21 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 43-54. Highs 59-66. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43-53. Highs 60-67. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 60-66. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 65-71. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 65-71. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-170830- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 123 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 /1223 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................48-55. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................69-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................41-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........3700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................52-57. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................78-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning becoming slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................63-68. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................39-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northeast 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 43-51. Highs 62-67. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 43-51. Highs 64-69. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-51. Highs 63-68. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Highs 68-73. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-51. Highs 68-73. $$ AZZ133-170830- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 123 PM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................38-52. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................80-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming mostly downslope/downvalley after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................55-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................46-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................42-55. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................77-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................52-65. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................55-82 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............15 percent. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 34-52. Highs 47-59. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 31-47. Highs 45-59. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 31-47. Highs 47-60. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-47. Highs 53-66. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 32-48. Highs 56-67. $$ CAZ232-170830- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1223 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................49-56. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................69-93 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................64-74. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................37-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Slight chance of showers in the evening becoming chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................50-57. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................62-86 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................58-69. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................34-52 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming southwest 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Highs 58-69. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-53. Highs 60-71. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-55. Highs 58-68. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 64-74. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-55. Highs 66-75. $$ CAZ230-170830- Joshua Tree National Park- 1223 PM PST Sun Nov 16 2025 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................40-49. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................77-96 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................52-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................46-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .MONDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................36-50. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................73-92 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................5 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................47-60. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................44-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............4 percent. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 35-45. Highs 48-59. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 36-46. Highs 49-61. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 37-47. Highs 48-60. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 38-49. Highs 53-65. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-50. Highs 57-67. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday November 24th through Wednesday November 26th: Below normal temperatures and above median precipitation.