Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
776 FNUS55 KPSR 180719 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1219 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025 .DISCUSSION... Periodic showers along with a few isolated thunderstorms will affect much of Arizona through Wednesday providing very good chances for wetting rains. Below normal temperatures and elevated moisture will remain in place keeping MinRHs in a 40-70% range following excellent overnight recovery greater than 80%. Locally gusty winds upwards of 20 mph will be possible at times, though weaker wind speeds will be more common through the period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-181930- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1219 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................64-73. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................49-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................70 percent west portion...60 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......2900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 14 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................50-60. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................83-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................59-65. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................53-77 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent west portion...50 percent east portion. * Chance of Thunder...............8 percent. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......1900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......South 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Poor. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 58-66. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 60-67. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 46-56. Highs 63-70. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 44-54. Highs 61-67. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-54. Highs 64-69. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-181930- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1219 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025 /1119 PM PST Mon Nov 17 2025/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. chance of showers . * Max Temperature.................65-70. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................48-68 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............11 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........1200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 6 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Poor. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................49-54. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................90-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northwest after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............5 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. * Max Temperature.................63-68. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................45-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Northwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-53. Highs 64-69. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 46-53. Highs 61-66. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-52. Highs 62-67. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 43-51. Highs 64-69. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 42-50. Highs 67-72. $$ AZZ133-181930- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1219 AM MST Tue Nov 18 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................56-69. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................46-72 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................39-54. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................86-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............10 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the morning. slight chance of thunderstorms . showers likely in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................52-64. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................58-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............12 percent. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 31-50. Highs 44-58. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 31-48. Highs 50-63. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 33-48. Highs 56-69. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 33-48. Highs 51-63. .MONDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 32-47. Highs 54-65. $$ CAZ232-181930- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1119 PM PST Mon Nov 17 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers . * Max Temperature.................60-71. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................35-53 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. * Min Temperature.................47-53. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................71-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northwest after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............2 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................59-69. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................36-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers. Lows 45-55. Highs 60-71. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 48-55. Highs 55-64. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 48-54. Highs 58-67. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 46-54. Highs 61-71. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-54. Highs 64-73. $$ CAZ230-181930- Joshua Tree National Park- 1119 PM PST Mon Nov 17 2025 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. * Max Temperature.................49-63. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................46-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 25 to 35 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent in the morning becoming 0 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............3 percent. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening. chance of showers after midnight. * Min Temperature.................35-47. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................79-100 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............1 percent. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................49-60. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................47-61 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * Chance of Thunder...............0 percent. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 36-48. Highs 50-62. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 38-49. Highs 44-56. Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 38-49. Highs 49-59. North winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows 40-49. Highs 53-63. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-49. Highs 57-67. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Tuesday November 25th through Thursday November 27th: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.