Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
576 FNUS55 KPSR 241105 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 405 AM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture will continue to result in daily chances for shower and thunderstorm activity, with the best chances for activity across the higher terrain areas. Shower and thunderstorm chances will gradually diminish throughout the week, as high pressure builds into the region. With the elevated moisture in place, MinRH values through early this week will range between 30-40% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts before slowly drying into the middle to latter half of next week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. Temperatures through today will average near to slightly above normal before increasing some heading into the middle of this week. Chances for wetting rains will generally remain around 10-20% for the higher terrain areas and 5-10% for the lower deserts of south-central Arizona through the first half of the week. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-242315- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 405 AM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * LAL.............................2. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 81-91. Highs 105-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 103-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 102-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 104-110. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 106-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-242315- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 405 AM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 /405 AM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-86. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 78-83. Highs 105-110. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 106-111. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-86. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-242315- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 405 AM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................90-104. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................24-33 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................52-70 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 70-85. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 89-104. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-82. Highs 89-103. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 92-105. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 93-108. $$ CAZ232-242315- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 405 AM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 77-89. Highs 103-113. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 76-85. Highs 102-112. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 102-112. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-88. Highs 105-115. $$ CAZ230-242315- Joshua Tree National Park- 405 AM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-86. Highs 93-108. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66-80. Highs 91-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 66-81. Highs 92-107. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 68-82. Highs 94-109. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday July 1st through Wednesday July 3rd: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.