Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Maple Fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
426 PM MST Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on September 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will continue to cool over the next couple of days as
additional moisture arrives into our region. Expect increasing chances
for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday (30%) and Thursday (50%). Storms
will mainly form along the Mogollon Rim on Wednesday and could bring
gusty outflow winds out of the NE by Wednesday evening. The best chances
for wetting rainfall will be on Thursday afternoon and evening. Winds
will follow predominant diurnal patterns with light easterly flow at
night followed by south to southwesterly winds in the afternoon. Min
RH will bottom out around 25-30% on Wednesday, but improve to 40-45%
on Thursday. Overnight recovery will be fair to good.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph in the morning, shifting to
                    the southwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR.................13 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........63-68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph in
                    the evening, becoming east 6 to 10 mph overnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................34 percent.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........40-44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.

$$
Forecaster...MS
Requested by...Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521146.0/PSR
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov