269
FNUS75 KPSR 140346
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Rose Fire...DFFM
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
846 PM MST Thu Jun 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Very light showers in the vicinity of the fire have mostly moved
east of the area this evening and skies should clear over the next
few hours. Tonight through early Friday morning winds are expected
to be light with and tend to follow typical nighttime down river
directions. An early south to southwest wind is expected to
develop Friday morning, by 0700-0800MST. South to southwest winds
will prevail through the afternoon Friday with occasional gusts
up to around 20 mph. Similar wind conditions are anticipated
Saturday, except the southerly shift will likely occur closer to
0900-1000MST. The environment will remain hot and dry, with
afternoon high temperatures reaching around 105-108F and minimum
RHs falling to around 5-10%. Overnight RH recovery will be poor,
going from around 30% tonight to around 20% Friday night. Skies
will remain mostly clear through Saturday with no additional rain
chances.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 105.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 8 mph overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 108.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...SB
Requested by...PJ Lingley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416074.1/PSR
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL plingley@dffm.az.gov